土工基础 ›› 2023, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (3): 442-447.

• 专题论述 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于模糊集重心理论的高速公路边坡施工安全风险评估

代飞亚   

  1. (中交二航局第四工程有限公司,安徽芜湖 241000)
  • 收稿日期:2022-08-27 修回日期:2022-09-23 出版日期:2023-06-30 发布日期:2023-07-05
  • 作者简介:代飞亚(1992-),男,工程师,研究方向为风险管理。

Safety Risk Assessment of Highway Slope Construction Based on Barycenter Theory of Fuzzy Set

DAI Feiya   

  1. (CCCC SHEC Fourth Engineering Co. Ltd., Wuhu 241000)
  • Received:2022-08-27 Revised:2022-09-23 Online:2023-06-30 Published:2023-07-05

摘要: 高速公路边坡具有施工周期短、不确定风险因素多等特点,有必要开展施工安全风险评估工作。通过将模糊集重心理论引入传统模糊综合评判法中,提出了基于模糊集重心理论的边坡施工安全风险评估方法。首先选取影响边坡稳定性的内外因素构建风险评估指标体系,并计算各指标的不同等级隶属度;然后采用层次分析法确定各指标权重;最后基于模糊集重心理论确定边坡安全风险等级。将该方法运用于广西省某高速公路边坡安全风险评估,经对比与边坡现场情况较为吻合,验证了方法的适用性和可靠性。此外,选取了该区域另外两处边坡分别开展了风险评估,所得结果与边坡现场实际状况也均较为吻合。

关键词: 公路边坡, 施工安全风险, 风险评估, 模糊集重心理论

Abstract: Highway slope has the characteristics of short construction period and many uncertain risk factors, so it is necessary to perform construction safety hazard assessment. By introducing the Barycenter Theory of fuzzy set into the traditional fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, a method of slope construction safety hazard assessment based on the Barycenter Theory of fuzzy set is proposed. Firstly, the internal and external factors that affecting the slope stability are selected to construct the risk assessment index system, and the different levels of membership of each index are estimated. Then, the AHP is used to determine the weight of each index. Finally, the risk level of slope safety is determined based on the Barycenter Theory of fuzzy set. The method is applied to the safety risk assessment of a highway slope in Guangxi Province. It is in good agreement with the situation of the slope site, which verifies the applicability and reliability of the proposed method. In addition, in order to illustrate the universality of the proposed method, two other slopes in the area are selected for risk assessment, and the results obtained are also in good agreement with the actual situation of the slope site.

Key words: Highway Slope, Construction Safety Hazard, Risk Assessment, Barycenter Theory of Fuzzy Set

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