土工基础

›› 2013, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3): 73-75.

• 工程实录 • 上一篇    下一篇

模糊综合评判法在工程项目风险评估中的应用

殷 亮，梁宏琴   

  1. （安康市兴安建筑安装工程有限公司第三分公司，陕西安康 725000）
  • 收稿日期:2012-10-15 出版日期:2013-06-20 发布日期:2013-06-26
  • 作者简介:殷亮（1988-），男，本科，助理工程师，研究方向为工程项目施工与管理等。

Application of the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method in the Risk Assessments

YIN Liang,LIANG Hongqin   

  1. (The Third Division Co., Ltd, Shanxi Ankang Xin'an Construction & Installation Engineering, Ankang Shanxi 725000)
  • Received:2012-10-15 Online:2013-06-20 Published:2013-06-26

摘要： 鉴于评估对象的复杂性、模糊性，结合工程实例选取影响项目风险的主要指标，运用主成分分析法确定各级指标权重，并将其用于模糊综合评判中。分析表明：模糊综合评判法用于工程项目风险评估是可行的，而且能客观地反映评价指标对综合评估值影响的强弱，具有一定的优越性。

关键词: 模糊综合评判法, 项目风险, 综合评估, 工程实例

Abstract: Engineering project risk assessment is a rather complicated work, which includes many uncertain factors. Hence, it is different for an accurate comprehensive approach using quantitative method. Due to the complexity, fuzziness nature of the risk assessment, the evaluation presented in this paper selects the major parameters that affect the projects risk. The index weights at all levels are determined by using the principal component analysis (PCA) method and these weights are used in a comprehensive fuzzy risk evaluation. The evaluation results indicate that the fuzzy evaluation method in the risk assessment is feasible.

Key words: Fuzzy Comprehensive Risk Assessments, Engineering Project Risks, Comprehensive Evaluations, Case Studies